This week, we have a Fight Pass card at Singapore. Because it’s in Singapore, we must wake up at 4:30am ET to watch it live. I have set the alarm and that I will be up ready to sweat these early struggles. DraftKings doesn’t have many big tournaments this week so that I will be playing more cash games and less GPPs. I’ll still have 3 GPP lineups but most of my investment that this week will be in cash games. But, There’s still money to be won so here are a few plays I like and my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of this week — Stack, Leon Edwards ($8,600) AND Donald Cerrone ($7,600)
Donald”Cowboy” Cerrone is not in a dull fight. Whether he wins or loses, his struggles usually score high as a whole and also the winner almost always pays off their cost in DraftKings. I typically look for 100 total points should I pile up a struggle in cash and that I think with this being a probable 5-rounds, it should score well over that. If Edwards win this battle, it is likely an early KO, and if this happens he’ll score very large. If Cerrone wins, he can lock up a entry or a knockout which will easily 10x his cost of $7.6k. However, in any event, you’ve got the winner in your lineup and the guaranteed 30-90 win bonus points should you pile. I think this battle will be fun so long as it lasts and there should be a good amount of points added up before one of these two get finished. If this does go 5 rounds, these two should still get over 100 total points together with the speed Cowboy brings to the table.
GPP play of this week — Li Jingliang ($9,200)
Li Jingliang always puts on a series when he steps in the Octagon. He’s a fast pace fighter who scores very well on DraftKings when he wins. I think he must be the better fighter wherever this fight ends up against Abe. I also think he can complete this fight on the feet or the floor and if that happens he would very likely pay off his high price tag of $9.2k. He’s the 3rd most expensive fighter on the card and I believe he has the maximum ceiling. That’s what we desire in GPPs is a high ceiling, so that’s why Jingliang is my GPP play of the week.
Underdog drama of the week — Song Yadong ($7,900)
Song Yadong is my favourite DraftKings”underdog” this week. His gambling line has shifted to him being a small favorite at -120 but he is $400 cheaper than his opponent. I believe saving that $400 is a fantastic transfer in cash or GPP games therefore I like Yadong in most formats. I think Yadong will seem to keep this fight on the toes and hunt for this KO win. If he does get the win, then I believe he must readily pay off that cost and get at least 10x.
Fade of the week — Viviane Pereira ($8,800)
My primary issue with Pereira is that she is too expensive. At $8.8k, I need at least 88 points from her and I think she desires get a finish to do that. I don’t see that happening and neither does Vegas using a +617 ITD line. She does not strike a high enough speed or land enough takedowns to evaluate 88 points in my opinion. In her 2 UFC wins she held her opponent against the fence to get a fantastic section of the fight and no issues have been scored when that occurs. If she does that again here, there’s absolutely no way she even comes near 88 points even with a win. I will have a complete fade on Pereira this week and I will compensate for other favorites instead.
If you’d like my full-card DraftKings breakdown using investigation on every struggle, my private strategies & recommendations, and also my selection prediction for every fight then it is possible to find that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
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